NBA Props

Wednesday, March 11, 2026

9/20 props hit (45%)

These are the NBA player props we tracked on Wednesday, March 11, 2026. Each prop shows whether it hit or missed, along with the hit rate and confidence rating it carried going into the game. See all NBA players to dig into individual trends.

Results(20)

Jalen BrunsonGuardNYK @ UTA
Under 26.5PointsHigh
8/10 L10-128 @ FanDuel
Miss ✗Actual: 28
Christian BraunGuardHOU @ DEN
Over 4.5ReboundsHigh
8/10 L10-125 @ FanDuel
Miss ✗Actual: 4
Scottie BarnesForward-GuardTOR @ NOP
Under 18.5PointsHigh
8/10 L10-120 @ FanDuel
Hit ✓Actual: 9
Karl-Anthony TownsCenter-ForwardNYK @ UTA
Under 2.5AssistsHigh
8/10 L10+116 @ FanDuel
Miss ✗Actual: 7
Saddiq BeyGuard-ForwardTOR @ NOP
Over 17.5PointsHigh
9/10 L10-108 @ FanDuel
Miss ✗Actual: 9
Derrick Jones Jr.ForwardMIN @ LAC
Over 11.5PointsHigh
8/10 L10-114 @ FanDuel
Hit ✓Actual: 12
Immanuel QuickleyGuardTOR @ NOP
Under 3.5ReboundsHigh
8/10 L10-106 @ FanDuel
Miss ✗Actual: 6
CLE @ ORL
Over 109.5Team TotalsHigh
8/10 L10-155 @ BetMGM
Hit ✓Actual: 128
Scottie BarnesForward-GuardTOR @ NOP
Under 6.5ReboundsHigh
7/10 L10-112 @ FanDuel
Hit ✓Actual: 6
MIN @ LAC
Over 111.5Team TotalsHigh
8/10 L10-160 @ BetMGM
Hit ✓Actual: 153
Paolo BancheroForwardCLE @ ORL
Over 23.5PointsHigh
7/10 L10-107 @ BetRivers
Hit ✓Actual: 25
Bennedict MathurinGuard-ForwardMIN @ LAC
Over 5.5ReboundsHigh
7/10 L10-102 @ FanDuel
Miss ✗Actual: 2
Naz ReidCenter-ForwardMIN @ LAC
Over 5.5ReboundsHigh
9/10 L10-106 @ FanDuel
Miss ✗Actual: 3
Aaron GordonForwardHOU @ DEN
Over 5.5ReboundsHigh
7/10 L10+110 @ FanDuel
Miss ✗Actual: 4
Jakob PoeltlCenterTOR @ NOP
Under 8.5ReboundsHigh
8/10 L10-138 @ FanDuel
Hit ✓Actual: 5
CLE @ ORL
Under 117.5Team TotalsHigh
8/10 L10-160 @ BetMGM
Miss ✗Actual: 122
Desmond BaneGuardCLE @ ORL
Under 4.5AssistsHigh
7/10 L10-159 @ BetRivers
Miss ✗Actual: 6
TOR @ NOP
Over 114.5Team TotalsHigh
8/10 L10-135 @ BetMGM
Hit ✓Actual: 122
Tari EasonForwardHOU @ DEN
Under 10.5PointsHigh
8/10 L10-132 @ FanDuel
Hit ✓Actual: 8
Trey Murphy IIIForwardTOR @ NOP
Over 3.5AssistsHigh
9/10 L10-120 @ FanDuel
Miss ✗Actual: 3

How the day went

9/20 props hit — a 45% rate. High confidence props went 9/20.

Team Totals: 3/4. Points: 4/6. Rebounds: 2/7.

Get exact confidence scores, EV%, all sportsbook odds, and full trend charts for every prop.

Frequently asked questions

How are NBA props ranked on this page?

Every prop is ranked by confidence, which comes from how consistently a player has hit a line in recent NBA games. A player who's gone over their points line in 9 of the last 10 games gets a higher confidence rating than someone at 5 of 10. We also factor in streaks and matchup context.

What do hit rates like "8/10 L10" mean?

"8/10 L10" means the prop hit in 8 of the player's last 10 NBA games. L5 is last 5 games. The higher the hit rate over a larger sample, the more reliable the trend. WagerLens tracks hit rates across 1, 3, 5, 7, and 10-game windows.

What happens to this page after NBA games on Wednesday, March 11, 2026 finish?

Once games wrap up, this page updates to show results. Each prop gets a Hit or Miss tag based on the actual stat line. You can browse past dates to see how NBA props performed and spot which markets hit most often.

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