Jackson Chourio
HR·1+·MIL @ ATL
7:16 PM ET
Is Jackson Chourio 1+ HR a good bet at this number?
Jackson Chourio has had 1+ hr in 3 of 5 recent games (60%). Lean over. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.
Best Over
+390· BetRivers
Best Under
—
Jackson Chourio vs 0.5: recent track record
Recent games for Jackson Chourio hr vs line 0.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
38
BA
0.307
OPS
0.918
SLG
0.558
Hr L1
0
Hr Avg L3
0.333
Hr Avg L5
0.8
Hr Avg L7
0.714
Hr Avg L10
0.6
Hr Avg
0.263
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Jackson Chourio 1+ HR
Price history for the Under
Under-side history by book is not available yet.
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Jackson Chourio 1+ HR a good bet at this number?
Jackson Chourio has had 1+ hr in 3 of 5 recent games (60%). Lean over. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.
What is Jackson Chourio's hit rate on this prop?
Jackson Chourio went 1+ in 3 of 5 tracked games — 60% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Jackson Chourio 1+?
+390 at BetRivers is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after MIL @ ATL (scheduled for 7:16 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.