Esmerlyn Valdez
Hits·1+·ATL @ PIT
6:41 PM ET
Is Esmerlyn Valdez 1+ Hits a good bet at this number?
Esmerlyn Valdez recorded 1+ hits in their last outing. Lean over. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.
Best Over
−185· BetMGM
Best Under
+135· BetMGM
Esmerlyn Valdez vs 0.5: recent track record
Recent games for Esmerlyn Valdez hits vs line 0.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
23
BA
0.311
H L1
1
H Avg L3
0.667
H Avg L5
1.4
H Avg L7
1.429
H Avg L10
1.6
H Avg
1
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Esmerlyn Valdez 1+ Hits
Price history for the Under
Under-side history by book is not available yet.
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Esmerlyn Valdez 1+ Hits a good bet at this number?
Esmerlyn Valdez recorded 1+ hits in their last outing. Lean over. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.
What is Esmerlyn Valdez's hit rate on this prop?
Esmerlyn Valdez went 1+ in 9 of 10 tracked games — 90% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Esmerlyn Valdez 1+?
−185 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after ATL @ PIT (scheduled for 6:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.