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Ildemaro Vargas

Hits·1+·ARI @ CLE

7:11 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Ildemaro Vargas 1+ Hits a good bet at this number?

Lean Over

Ildemaro Vargas has produced 1+ hits in 5 consecutive games. Lean over.

Best Over

−175· BetMGM

Best Under

+130· BetMGM

Updated 15 min ago·Sample 10 games·Methodology →

Ildemaro Vargas vs 0.5: recent track record

Recent games for Ildemaro Vargas hits vs line 0.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -
Fresh 15 min ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1090%(9/10)
Season100%(5/5)
Under
EV -
Fresh 15 min ago
L50%(0/5)
L1010%(1/10)

Games Played

95

BA

0.275

H L1

1

H Avg L3

1

H Avg L5

1

H Avg L7

1.143

H Avg L10

1.3

H Avg

0.905

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Ildemaro Vargas 1+ Hits

5 updates1 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 Hits

5 updates1 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Ildemaro Vargas 1+ Hits a good bet at this number?

Ildemaro Vargas has produced 1+ hits in 5 consecutive games. Lean over.

What is Ildemaro Vargas's hit rate on this prop?

Ildemaro Vargas went 1+ in 5 of 5 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Ildemaro Vargas 1+?

−175 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after ARI @ CLE (scheduled for 7:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.