Esmerlyn Valdez
Total Bases·1+·PIT @ NYY
7:06 PM ET
Is Esmerlyn Valdez 1+ Total Bases a good bet at this number?
Esmerlyn Valdez has had 1+ total bases in 7 straight games. Lean over.
Best Over
−160· BetMGM
Best Under
+120· BetMGM
Esmerlyn Valdez vs 0.5: recent track record
Recent games for Esmerlyn Valdez total bases vs line 0.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
32
BA
0.306
SLG
0.750
Tb L1
4
Tb Avg L3
3.333
Tb Avg L5
3.2
Tb Avg L7
4.143
Tb Avg L10
3.4
Tb Avg
2.531
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Esmerlyn Valdez 1+ Total Bases
Price history for the Under
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 Total Bases
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Esmerlyn Valdez 1+ Total Bases a good bet at this number?
Esmerlyn Valdez has had 1+ total bases in 7 straight games. Lean over.
What is Esmerlyn Valdez's hit rate on this prop?
Esmerlyn Valdez went 1+ in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Esmerlyn Valdez 1+?
−160 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after PIT @ NYY (scheduled for 7:06 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.