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Josh Naylor

Total Bases·Under 1.5·SEA @ TB

7:11 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Total Bases a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Josh Naylor has hit the under 1.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+132· BetRivers

Best Under

−175· BetMGM

Updated 59 min ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Josh Naylor vs 1.5: recent track record

Recent games for Josh Naylor total bases vs line 1.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -
Fresh 59 min ago
L50%(0/5)
L1020%(2/10)
Under
EV -
Fresh 59 min ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season100%(7/7)

Games Played

87

BA

0.251

SLG

0.353

Tb L1

1

Tb Avg L3

1

Tb Avg L5

1

Tb Avg L7

0.714

Tb Avg L10

1

Tb Avg

1.391

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Josh Naylor 2+ Total Bases

7 updates2 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Total Bases

4 updates1 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Total Bases a good bet at this number?

Josh Naylor has hit the under 1.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Josh Naylor's hit rate on this prop?

Josh Naylor went Under 1.5 in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Josh Naylor Under 1.5?

−175 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after SEA @ TB (scheduled for 7:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.