Prop check
Denzer Guzman Over 0.5 Runs
Final · graded Sep 18
Miss · Actual: 0 Runs · Line 0.5 · Closing price +178 at DraftKings
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 9:39 PM ET | Minnesota Twins | 0.5 | +178 | miss |
What the data showed before the game
The game behind the bet
MIN @ LAA
Sep 17, 9:39 PM ET
Game results
Denzer Guzman runs over the last 5 games versus a line of 0.5.
Results versus the line
Record
2/5
Hit rate
40%
L5 average
0.4
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Open
+190
Current
+173
Change
−17
Best available moved from +190 to +173. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Recorded books
Best price: DraftKings +173 · 8¢ better than BetMGM
Under −244
DraftKings quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.Under −220
theScore Bet quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.Under −225
BetMGM quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.Supporting context
Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.
100%
1/1 decisions
40%
2/5 decisions
Games played
87
Batting average
0.219
R L1
0
R Avg L3
0.333
R Avg L5
0.4
R Avg L7
0.429
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