What does the data say about Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 runs at this number?

Lars Nootbaar has hit the under 0.5 in 9 of 10 recent games (90%). No clear edge at the current price.

What is the historical hit rate for Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 runs?

Lars Nootbaar hit under 0.5 runs in 9 of 10 decisions across the last 10 games — 90% hit rate.

What is the best price for Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 runs?

−120 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 runs right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after MIA @ ARI (scheduled for 9:40 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 Runs

MIA @ ARISep 15, 9:40 PM ET

Recent performance

Lars Nootbaar runs over the last 10 games versus a line of 0.5.

Results versus the line

Record

9/10

Hit rate

90%

L10 average

0.2

HitMissL10

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Under

EV −5.9%

80%

4/5 decisions

L10Primary

90%

9/10 decisions

Games played

Batting average

0.247

R L1

R Avg L3

0.667

R Avg L5

0.4

R Avg L7

0.286

Market prices

Compare the exact 0.5 runs line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

2 quoting

Best price: DraftKings −120 · 5¢ better than BetMGM

2 books · stale quotes flagged below

DraftKings

Best

Check

Under

−120

Over −115

Odds updated 48m ago

BetMGM

Check

Under

−125

Over −105

Odds updated 48m ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
DraftKings Best	−115	−120	Odds updated 48m ago	Check
BetMGM	−105	−125	Odds updated 48m ago	Check

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Recent performance

Results versus the line

Game log · L10

Supporting context

Market prices

Current books

DraftKings

BetMGM

Market movement

Keep researching

Frequently asked

What does the data say about Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 runs at this number?

What is the historical hit rate for Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 runs?

What is the best price for Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 runs?

When does this bet resolve?

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?