What does the data say about Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 hits at this number?

Ildemaro Vargas has hit the under 0.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Best price is +155 at BetMGM.

What is the historical hit rate for Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 hits?

Ildemaro Vargas hit under 0.5 hits in 5 of 5 decisions across the last 5 games — 100% hit rate.

What is the best price for Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 hits?

+155 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 hits right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after ARI @ MIA (scheduled for 6:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Ildemaro Vargas Under 0.5 Hits vs. Marlins

ARI @ MIAJun 10, 6:41 PM ET

Settled: Hit

Final · graded Jun 16

Hit · Actual: 0 Hits · Line 0.5 · Closing price +155 at BetMGM

All games and results for this bet

What the data showed before the game

The game behind the bet

ARI @ MIA

Jun 10, 6:41 PM ET

Game results

Fewer than 2 game results are available for this market. Check back after more games are recorded.

Market movement

These recorded prices are shown for research only.

Price history

Under

What's the vig on this price? →

Odds format

Open

+135

Current

+155

Change

+20

Best available moved from +135 to +155. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.

Recorded books

2 books

Best price: BetMGM +155

BetMGM

+155

Over −210

BetRivers

—

Over −195

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Under

EV −5.0%

L5Primary

100%

5/5 decisions

L10

70%

7/10 decisions

Games played

142

Batting average

0.254

H L1

H Avg L3

H Avg L5

H Avg L7

0.429

Save this bet with its research

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