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Prop check

Brandon Pfaadt Under 4.5 Strikeouts

TEX @ ARISep 12, 8:11 PM ET
Settled: Miss

Final · graded Sep 13

Miss · Actual: 7 Ks · Line 4.5 · Closing price −138 at DraftKings

Past games

DateOpponentLineClosing priceResult
Sep 12, 8:11 PM ETTexas Rangers4.5−138miss

What the data showed before the game

The game behind the bet

TEX @ ARI

Sep 12, 8:11 PM ET

Game results

Brandon Pfaadt ks over the last 3 games versus a line of 4.5.

Results versus the line

Record

3/3

Hit rate

100%

L3 average

2.7

HitMissL3

Market movement

These recorded prices are shown for research only.

Price history

Under
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Odds format

Open

−141

Current

−139

Change

+2

Best available moved from −141 to −139. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.

Recorded books

2 books

Best price: Pinnacle −145 · 3¢ better than FanDuel

Pinnacle
−145

Over +109

Pinnacle quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.
FanDuel
−148

Over +116

FanDuel quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Under
EV −3.4%
L3Primary

100%

3/3 decisions

L5

60%

3/5 decisions

L10

80%

8/10 decisions

Games played

29

ERA

3.93

IP

130.4

So L1

7

So Avg L3

5.667

So Avg L5

4.4

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