Prop check
Merrill Kelly Under 3.5 Strikeouts
You checked 3.5 (alt). Consensus: 4.5.
MIA @ ARISep 16, 9:41 PM ET
Settled: Miss
Final · graded Sep 17
Miss · Actual: 9 Ks · Line 3.5 · Closing price +140 at theScore Bet
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 9:41 PM ET | Miami Marlins | 3.5 | +140 | miss |
What the data showed before the game
The game behind the bet
MIA @ ARI
Sep 16, 9:41 PM ET
Game results
Merrill Kelly ks over the last 10 games versus a line of 3.5.
Results versus the line
Record
4/10
Hit rate
40%
L10 average
4.0
HitMissL10
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under
Odds format
Open
+131
Current
+150
Change
+19
Best available moved from +131 to +150. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Recorded books
1 books
Best price: theScore Bet +150
theScore Bet
+150
Over −220
theScore Bet quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.Supporting context
Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.
Under
EV +1.0%
L1Primary
100%
1/1 decisions
L5
40%
2/5 decisions
L10
40%
4/10 decisions
Games played
29
ERA
5.05
IP
158.5
So L1
2
So Avg L3
4.667
So Avg L5
5
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