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Merrill Kelly headshot

Prop check

Merrill Kelly Under 4.5 Strikeouts

MIA @ ARISep 16, 9:41 PM ET
Settled: Miss

Final · graded Sep 17

Miss · Actual: 9 Ks · Line 4.5 · Closing price −146 at DraftKings

Past games

DateOpponentLineClosing priceResult
Sep 16, 9:41 PM ETMiami Marlins4.5−146miss

What the data showed before the game

The game behind the bet

MIA @ ARI

Sep 16, 9:41 PM ET

Game results

Merrill Kelly ks over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.

Results versus the line

Record

6/7

Hit rate

86%

L7 average

3.7

HitMissL7

Market movement

These recorded prices are shown for research only.

Price history

Under
What's the vig on this price? →
Odds format

Open

−160

Current

−137

Change

+23

Best available moved from −160 to −137. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.

Recorded books

4 books

Best price: DraftKings −137 · 19¢ better than FanDuel

DraftKings
−137

Over +107

DraftKings quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.
BetMGM
−155

Over +115

BetMGM quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.
theScore Bet
−155

Over +110

theScore Bet quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.
FanDuel
−156

Over +122

FanDuel quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Under
EV −1.0%
L5

80%

4/5 decisions

L7Primary

86%

6/7 decisions

L10

70%

7/10 decisions

Games played

29

ERA

5.05

IP

158.5

So L1

2

So Avg L3

4.667

So Avg L5

5

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