
Prop check
Merrill Kelly Under 4.5 Strikeouts
MIA @ ARISep 16, 9:41 PM ET
Settled: Miss
Final · graded Sep 17
Miss · Actual: 9 Ks · Line 4.5 · Closing price −146 at DraftKings
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 9:41 PM ET | Miami Marlins | 4.5 | −146 | miss |
What the data showed before the game
The game behind the bet
MIA @ ARI
Sep 16, 9:41 PM ET
Game results
Merrill Kelly ks over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
Record
6/7
Hit rate
86%
L7 average
3.7
HitMissL7
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under
Odds format
Open
−160
Current
−137
Change
+23
Best available moved from −160 to −137. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Recorded books
4 books
Best price: DraftKings −137 · 19¢ better than FanDuel
DraftKings
−137
Over +107
DraftKings quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.BetMGM
−155
Over +115
BetMGM quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.theScore Bet
−155
Over +110
theScore Bet quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.FanDuel
−156
Over +122
FanDuel quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.Supporting context
Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.
Under
EV −1.0%
L5
80%
4/5 decisions
L7Primary
86%
6/7 decisions
L10
70%
7/10 decisions
Games played
29
ERA
5.05
IP
158.5
So L1
2
So Avg L3
4.667
So Avg L5
5
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