Prop check
Aaron Nola 1+ Earned Runs
TB @ PHISep 26, 7:16 PM ET
The game behind the bet
TB @ PHI
Sep 26, 7:16 PM ET
Game results
Aaron Nola earned runs over the last 10 games versus a line of 0.5.
Results versus the line
Record
9/10
Hit rate
90%
L10 average
1.7
HitMissL10
Market movement
Price history
Over
Odds format
Open
+105
Current
−130
Change
−35
Best available moved from +105 to −130. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Current books
2 quoting
Best price: BetMGM −130 · 24¢ better than DraftKings
2 quotes are stale. Check prices at the book.
BetMGM
−130
(opens in a new tab)Under −105
BetMGM quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.DraftKings
−154
(opens in a new tab)Under +116
DraftKings quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.Matchup
How Aaron Nola and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.
Aaron Nola
- ERASeason · 32 games
- 4.64
- ErLast game · 1 game
- 4
- ErL3
- 2
- ErL5
- 1.60
- ErL7
- 1.57
- ErL10
- 1.70
- ErSeason · 32 games
- 2.75
Opponent
- Opponent runsL5
- 2.80
Supporting context
Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.
Over
EV −2.9%
L5
80%
4/5 decisions
L10Primary
90%
9/10 decisions
Games played
32
ERA
4.64
IP
170.6
Er L1
4
Er Avg L3
2
Er Avg L5
1.6
Pregame context
No sourced pregame reports are available for this check yet.
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