What does the data say about Bryce Miller 3+ earned runs at this number?

Bryce Miller has reached 3+ earned runs in 4 of 5 recent games (80%). Best price is +125 at BetMGM. The data leans 3+ earned runs.

What is Bryce Miller's hit rate on this prop?

Bryce Miller went 3+ earned runs in 4 of 5 decisions across the last 5 games — 80% at this line.

What is the best price on Bryce Miller 3+ earned runs?

+125 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after TEX @ SEA (scheduled for 9:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens grade this prop?

We compare recent hit-rate windows, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Bryce Miller 3+ Earned Runs

TEX @ SEASep 8, 9:41 PM ET

Recent performance

Bryce Miller earned runs over the last 5 games versus a line of 2.5.

Results versus the line

Hit rate

80%

Record

4/5

Average

4.2

HitMissL5

Matchup

How Bryce Miller and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.

Bryce Miller

ERASeason · 18 games4.15

ErLast game · 1 game1

ErL34

ErL54.20

ErL74

ErL103.40

ErSeason · 18 games2.44

Texas Rangers

Opposing team

Opponent runsL55

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over

L5Primary

80%

4/5 decisions

L10

60%

6/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

4.15

95.4

Er L1

Er Avg L3

Er Avg L5

4.2

Market prices

Compare the exact 2.5 earned runs line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

1 quoting

BetMGM

Best

Check

Over

+125

Under −165

Odds updated 5h ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetMGM Best	+125	−165	Odds updated 5h ago	Check

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