What does the data say about Connor Prielipp 3+ earned runs at this number?

Connor Prielipp has produced 3+ earned runs in 5 of 7 games (71%). No clear edge at the current price.

What is the historical hit rate for Connor Prielipp 3+ earned runs?

Connor Prielipp hit 3+ earned runs in 5 of 7 decisions across the last 7 games — 71% hit rate.

What is the best price for Connor Prielipp 3+ earned runs?

+124 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Connor Prielipp 3+ earned runs right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after MIN @ LAA (scheduled for 9:39 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Connor Prielipp 3+ Earned Runs

MIN @ LAASep 18, 9:39 PM ET

Recent performance

Connor Prielipp earned runs over the last 7 games versus a line of 2.5.

Results versus the line

Record

5/7

Hit rate

71%

L7 average

3.6

HitMissL7

Matchup

How Connor Prielipp and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.

Connor Prielipp

ERASeason · 22 games: 5.32
ErLast game · 1 game: 3
ErL3: 1.67
ErL5: 2.80
ErL7: 3.57
ErL10: 3.20
ErSeason · 22 games: 3

Opponent

Opponent runsL5: 4

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over

EV −8.3%

60%

3/5 decisions

L7Primary

71%

5/7 decisions

L10

70%

7/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

5.32

111.7

Er L1

Er Avg L3

1.667

Er Avg L5

2.8

Market prices

Compare the exact 2.5 earned runs line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

1 quoting

Best price: DraftKings +124

1 books · stale quotes flagged below

DraftKings

Best

Check

Over

+124

Under −166

Odds updated 43m ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
DraftKings Best	+124	−166	Odds updated 43m ago	Check

Line movement

3+ earned runs

Odds movement for this exact line. The threshold stays fixed.

Open

+128

Current

+125

Change

−3

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