MLB player prop· NYYSettled: Miss
Gerrit Cole Over 1.5 Earned Runs vs. Rays
Earned Runs
You checked 1.5, an alternate line. Most books: 2.5.
Over 1.5 earned runs
5 of 5 decided (100%) · last 5 games
Last seen −185 at BetMGM, as of Oct 3, 2:27 PM ET · 2 books quoting
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 1.5 earned runs lost.
Final: 1.
Closing price −185 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: hit 5 of 5 (100%) in the last 5.
Hit rate vs the line
5of5
(100%)
Sep 1 – Sep 23
- 3
- 4
- 5
- 2
- 2
Earned Runs per start, oldest to newest
L5 average
3.2vs 1.5 line
Based on 5 starts
Game results
Gerrit Cole earned runs over the last 5 games versus a line of 1.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Earned Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | TB | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 18 | AZ | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 12 | NYM | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 6 | SD | Hit | 4 |
| Sep 1 | LAA | Hit | 3 |
What the data showed before the game
Sportsbooks
Closing price: BetMGM −185
Prices as of Oct 3, 2:27 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
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Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Open
−185
Current
−185
Change
0
Best available moved from −185 to −185. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
Supporting context
Compare recent averages with the line and season stats.
| Window | Average earned runs | vs 1.5 line |
|---|---|---|
| L5 | 3.2 | +1.7 |
| L10 | 2.4 | +0.9 |
Games played
23
ERA
3.62
IP
129.2
Er L1
1
Er Avg L3
1.667
Er Avg L5
2.8
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Gerrit Cole Over 1.5 earned runs at this number?
Gerrit Cole hit over 1.5 earned runs in 5 of his last 5 tracked games (100%). Best price is −185 at BetMGM.
What is the historical hit rate for Gerrit Cole Over 1.5 earned runs?
Gerrit Cole hit over 1.5 earned runs in 5 of 5 games across the last 5 games (100% hit rate).
What is the best price for Gerrit Cole Over 1.5 earned runs?
−185 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Gerrit Cole Over 1.5 earned runs right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 6:31 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.