What does the data say about Jacob deGrom 2+ earned runs at this number?

Jacob deGrom has produced 2+ earned runs in 2 of 3 games (67%). Best price is −125 at BetMGM. The data leans 2+ earned runs.

What is Jacob deGrom's hit rate on this prop?

Jacob deGrom went 2+ earned runs in 2 of 3 decisions across the last 3 games — 67% at this line.

What is the best price on Jacob deGrom 2+ earned runs?

−125 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after TEX @ SEA (scheduled for 4:10 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens grade this prop?

We compare recent hit-rate windows, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Jacob deGrom 2+ Earned Runs

TEX @ SEASep 10, 4:10 PM ET

Recent performance

Jacob deGrom earned runs over the last 3 games versus a line of 1.5.

Results versus the line

Hit rate

67%

Record

2/3

Average

3.3

HitMissL3

Matchup

How Jacob deGrom and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.

Jacob deGrom

ERASeason · 27 games: 4.02
ErLast game · 1 game: 2
ErL3: 3.33
ErL5: 2.40
ErL7: 2.57
ErL10: 2.60
ErSeason · 27 games: 2.33

Opponent

Opponent runsL5: 3.60

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over

L3Primary

67%

2/3 decisions

60%

3/5 decisions

L10

60%

6/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

4.02

141

Er L1

Er Avg L3

3.333

Er Avg L5

2.4

Market prices

Compare the exact 1.5 earned runs line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

1 quoting

BetMGM

Best

Check

Over

−125

Under −105

Odds updated 30m ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetMGM Best	−125	−105	Odds updated 30m ago	Check

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