What does the data say about Matthew Liberatore 3+ earned runs at this number?

Matthew Liberatore has had 3+ earned runs in 3 straight games. Best price is +115 at BetMGM. The data leans 3+ earned runs.

What is Matthew Liberatore's hit rate on this prop?

Matthew Liberatore went 3+ earned runs in 3 of 3 decisions across the last 3 games — 100% at this line.

What is the best price on Matthew Liberatore 3+ earned runs?

+115 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after CWS @ STL (scheduled for 8:16 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens grade this prop?

We compare recent hit-rate windows, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Matthew Liberatore 3+ Earned Runs

CWS @ STLSep 11, 8:16 PM ET

Recent performance

Matthew Liberatore earned runs over the last 3 games versus a line of 2.5.

Results versus the line

Hit rate

100%

Record

3/3

Average

5.3

HitMissL3

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over

L3Primary

100%

3/3 decisions

80%

4/5 decisions

L10

70%

7/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

5.74

134.8

Er L1

Er Avg L3

5.333

Er Avg L5

4.2

Market prices

Compare the exact 2.5 earned runs line. These recorded prices are shown for research only.

Recorded books

1 books

BetMGM

Best

Closed

Over

+115

Under −155

Odds updated 1h ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetMGM Best	+115	−155	Odds updated 1h ago	Closed

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