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Prop check

Merrill Kelly 3+ Earned Runs

ARI @ COLSep 23, 8:41 PM ET

Market

See how the exact 2.5 earned runs line moved, then compare sportsbook prices. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Market movement

Over
Odds format

Open

−135

Current

−132

Change

+3

Best available moved from −135 to −132. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.

Current books

2 quoting

Best price: DraftKings −132 · 13¢ better than BetMGM

2 books · stale quotes flagged below

DraftKings

Best
Check

Over

−132

Under +100

Odds updated 44m ago

BetMGM

Check

Over

−145

Under +105

Odds updated 44m ago

Recent performance

Merrill Kelly earned runs over the last 7 games versus a line of 2.5.

Results versus the line

Record

5/7

Hit rate

71%

L7 average

3.1

HitMissL7

Matchup

How Merrill Kelly and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.

Merrill Kelly

ERASeason · 28 games
5.10
ErLast game · 1 game
3
ErL3
2.33
ErL5
2
ErL7
3.14
ErL10
2.80
ErSeason · 28 games
3.11

Opponent

Opponent runsL5
2.80

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over
EV −4.5%
L5

60%

3/5 decisions

L7Primary

71%

5/7 decisions

L10

60%

6/10 decisions

Games played

28

ERA

5.1

IP

153.4

Er L1

3

Er Avg L3

2.333

Er Avg L5

2

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