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MLB player prop· TBFinal · result not graded yet

Nick Martinez Over 1.5 Earned Runs vs. Guardians

Earned Runs

TB@CLEOct 16, 8:00 PM ET
The line

Over 1.5 earned runs

3 of 3 decided (100%) · last 3 games

Last seen +100 at BetMGM, as of Oct 16, 11:37 AM ET · 1 book quoting

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Final · result not graded yet

Grading data is unavailable, so this result is not graded yet.

Closing price +100 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.

All games and results for this bet

Hit rate vs the line

3of3

(100%)

Sep 22 – Oct 7

  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 2

Earned Runs per start, oldest to newest

L3 average

2.7vs 1.5 line

Based on 3 starts

Game results

Nick Martinez earned runs over the last 3 games versus a line of 1.5.

Results versus the line

L3
HitMissLine 1.5
Game log · L3, newest first
DateOpponentResultEarned Runs
Oct 7NYY
Hit
2
Sep 27PHI
Hit
4
Sep 22NYY
Hit
2

Sportsbooks

8 books

Closing price: BetMGM +100

Prices as of Oct 16, 11:37 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.

Market movement

These recorded prices are shown for research only.

Price history

Over 1.5 earned runs
Odds format

Open

+150

Current

+146

Change

−4

Best available moved from +150 to +146. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.

Matchup

How Nick Martinez and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.

Nick Martinez

ERASeason · 32 games
3.22
ErLast game · 1 game
2
ErL3
2.67
ErL5
2
ErL7
2.29
ErL10
2.6
ErSeason · 32 games
2

Opponent

Opponent runsL5
4.4

Supporting context

Compare recent averages with the line and season stats.

WindowAverage earned runsvs 1.5 line
L52.0+0.5
L102.6+1.1
L152.3+0.8

Games played

32

ERA

3.22

IP

179

Er L1

2

Er Avg L3

2.667

Er Avg L5

2

Keep researching

Frequently asked

What does the data say about Nick Martinez Over 1.5 earned runs at this number?

Nick Martinez hit over 1.5 earned runs in 3 of his last 3 tracked games (100%). Best price is +100 at BetMGM.

What is the historical hit rate for Nick Martinez Over 1.5 earned runs?

Nick Martinez hit over 1.5 earned runs in 3 of 3 games across the last 3 games (100% hit rate).

What is the best price for Nick Martinez Over 1.5 earned runs?

+100 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Nick Martinez Over 1.5 earned runs right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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