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Nick Pivetta headshot

Prop check

Nick Pivetta Over 1.5 Earned Runs

MIA @ SDSep 18, 9:41 PM ET
Settled: Miss

Final · graded Sep 19

Miss · Actual: 1 Earned Runs · Line 1.5 · Closing price −105 at BetMGM

Past games

DateOpponentLineClosing priceResult
Sep 18, 9:41 PM ETMiami Marlins1.5−105miss

What the data showed before the game

The game behind the bet

MIA @ SD

Sep 18, 9:41 PM ET

Game results

Nick Pivetta earned runs over the last 5 games versus a line of 1.5.

Results versus the line

Record

2/5

Hit rate

40%

L5 average

0.8

HitMissL5

Market movement

These recorded prices are shown for research only.

Price history

Over
What's the vig on this price? →
Odds format

Open

−115

Current

−105

Change

+10

Best available moved from −115 to −105. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.

Recorded books

2 books

Best price: BetMGM −105 · 14¢ better than DraftKings

BetMGM
−105

Under −125

BetMGM quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.
DraftKings
−119

Under −112

DraftKings quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over
EV −3.8%
L1Primary

100%

1/1 decisions

L5

40%

2/5 decisions

Games played

8

ERA

2.89

IP

34.2

Er L1

0

Er Avg L3

1

Er Avg L5

0.6

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