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Prop check

Payton Tolle 2+ Earned Runs

BOS @ NYYSep 29, 8:10 PM ET

The game behind the bet

BOS @ NYY

Sep 29, 8:10 PM ET

Game results

Payton Tolle earned runs over the last 10 games versus a line of 1.5.

Results versus the line

Record

6/10

Hit rate

60%

L10 average

1.7

HitMissL10

Market movement

Price history

Over
Odds format

Open

−135

Current

−123

Change

+12

Best available moved from −135 to −123. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.

Last seen books

2 last seen

Last seen best price: DraftKings −123

2 quotes are stale. Check prices at the book.

DraftKings
−123
(opens in a new tab)

Under −108

DraftKings quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.
BetMGM
−140
(opens in a new tab)

Under +100

BetMGM quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.

Matchup

How Payton Tolle and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.

Payton Tolle

ERASeason · 26 games
3.09
ErLast game · 1 game
2
ErL3
1
ErL5
1.80
ErL7
1.71
ErL10
1.70
ErSeason · 26 games
1.92

Opponent

Opponent runsL5
4.80

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over
EV −4.1%
L5

60%

3/5 decisions

L10Primary

60%

6/10 decisions

Games played

26

ERA

3.09

IP

145.4

Er L1

2

Er Avg L3

1

Er Avg L5

1.8

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