What does the data say about Shane Drohan 2+ earned runs at this number?

Shane Drohan has produced 2+ earned runs in 8 of 10 games (80%). Best price is −145 at BetMGM. The data leans 2+ earned runs.

What is Shane Drohan's hit rate on this prop?

Shane Drohan went 2+ earned runs in 8 of 10 decisions across the last 10 games — 80% at this line.

What is the best price on Shane Drohan 2+ earned runs?

−145 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after CIN @ MIL (scheduled for 7:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens grade this prop?

We compare recent hit-rate windows, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Shane Drohan 2+ Earned Runs

CIN @ MILSep 12, 7:11 PM ET

Recent performance

Shane Drohan earned runs over the last 10 games versus a line of 1.5.

Results versus the line

Hit rate

80%

Record

8/10

Average

3.1

HitMissL10

Matchup

How Shane Drohan and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.

Shane Drohan

ERASeason · 28 games: 4.20
ErLast game · 1 game: 6
ErL3: 3
ErL5: 2.40
ErL7: 2.86
ErL10: 3.10
ErSeason · 28 games: 1.86

Opponent

Opponent runsL5: 3.60

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over

60%

3/5 decisions

L10Primary

80%

8/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

4.2

111.3

Er L1

Er Avg L3

Er Avg L5

2.4

Market prices

Compare the exact 1.5 earned runs line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

1 quoting

BetMGM

Best

View

Over

−145

Under +105

Odds updated 4m ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetMGM Best	−145	+105	Odds updated 4m ago	View

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