What does the data say about Taj Bradley 3+ earned runs at this number?

Taj Bradley has reached 3+ earned runs in 5 of 7 recent games (71%). Best price is +125 at BetMGM. The data leans 3+ earned runs.

What is Taj Bradley's hit rate on this prop?

Taj Bradley went 3+ earned runs in 5 of 7 decisions across the last 7 games — 71% at this line.

What is the best price on Taj Bradley 3+ earned runs?

+125 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after CLE @ MIN (scheduled for 8:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens grade this prop?

We compare recent hit-rate windows, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Taj Bradley 3+ Earned Runs

CLE @ MINSep 11, 8:11 PM ET

Recent performance

Taj Bradley earned runs over the last 7 games versus a line of 2.5.

Results versus the line

Hit rate

71%

Record

5/7

Average

3.0

HitMissL7

Matchup

How Taj Bradley and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.

Taj Bradley

ERASeason · 28 games: 4.01
ErLast game · 1 game: 4
ErL3: 3
ErL5: 3
ErL7: 3
ErL10: 2.90
ErSeason · 28 games: 2.50

Opponent

Opponent runsL5: 4.20

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over

60%

3/5 decisions

L7Primary

71%

5/7 decisions

L10

60%

6/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

4.01

157

Er L1

Er Avg L3

Er Avg L5

Market prices

Compare the exact 2.5 earned runs line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

1 quoting

BetMGM

Best

Check

Over

+125

Under −175

Odds updated 25m ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetMGM Best	+125	−175	Odds updated 25m ago	Check

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