What does the data say about Tarik Skubal 2+ earned runs at this number?

Tarik Skubal has reached 2+ earned runs in 5 of 7 recent games (71%). Best price is −115 at BetMGM. The data leans 2+ earned runs.

What is Tarik Skubal's hit rate on this prop?

Tarik Skubal went 2+ earned runs in 5 of 7 decisions across the last 7 games — 71% at this line.

What is the best price on Tarik Skubal 2+ earned runs?

−115 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after CIN @ LAD (scheduled for 10:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens grade this prop?

We compare recent hit-rate windows, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Tarik Skubal 2+ Earned Runs

CIN @ LADSep 8, 10:11 PM ET

Recent performance

Tarik Skubal earned runs over the last 7 games versus a line of 1.5.

Results versus the line

Hit rate

71%

Record

5/7

Average

2.1

HitMissL7

Matchup

How Tarik Skubal and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.

Tarik Skubal

ERASeason · 22 games2.92

ErLast game · 1 game2

ErL32

ErL52

ErL72.14

ErL101.80

ErSeason · 22 games1.91

Cincinnati Reds

Opposing team

Opponent runsL56.80

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over

60%

3/5 decisions

L7Primary

71%

5/7 decisions

L10

60%

6/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

2.92

129.3

Er L1

Er Avg L3

Er Avg L5

Market prices

Compare the exact 1.5 earned runs line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

1 quoting

BetMGM

Best

Check

Over

−115

Under −118

Odds updated 33m ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetMGM Best	−115	−118	Odds updated 33m ago	Check

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