What does the data say about Walbert Urena 3+ earned runs at this number?

Walbert Urena has reached 3+ earned runs in 3 of 5 recent games (60%). No clear edge at the current price.

What is the historical hit rate for Walbert Urena 3+ earned runs?

Walbert Urena hit 3+ earned runs in 3 of 5 decisions across the last 5 games — 60% hit rate.

What is the best price for Walbert Urena 3+ earned runs?

+130 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Walbert Urena 3+ earned runs right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after MIN @ LAA (scheduled for 9:39 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Walbert Urena 3+ Earned Runs

MIN @ LAASep 17, 9:39 PM ET

Recent performance

Walbert Urena earned runs over the last 5 games versus a line of 2.5.

Results versus the line

Record

3/5

Hit rate

60%

L5 average

2.4

HitMissL5

Matchup

How Walbert Urena and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.

Walbert Urena

ERASeason · 27 games: 2.93
ErLast game · 1 game: 4
ErL3: 2
ErL5: 2.40
ErL7: 2.29
ErL10: 1.80
ErSeason · 27 games: 1.63

Opponent

Opponent runsL5: 3

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over

EV −4.6%

L5Primary

60%

3/5 decisions

L10

40%

4/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

2.93

135

Er L1

Er Avg L3

Er Avg L5

2.4

Market prices

Compare the exact 2.5 earned runs line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

1 quoting

Best price: BetMGM +130

1 books · stale quotes flagged below

BetMGM

Best

Check

Over

+130

Under −175

Odds updated 4h ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetMGM Best	+130	−175	Odds updated 4h ago	Check

Line movement

3+ earned runs

Odds movement for this exact line. The threshold stays fixed.

Open

+110

Current