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MLB player prop· SDPending

Today's check

Walker Buehler Over 1.5 Earned Runs

Earned Runs

MIL@SDOct 7, 10:00 PM ET
The line

Over 1.5 earned runs

Best price +125 at BetMGM · 2 books quoting

Showing saved research. Data as of Oct 7, 1:10 PM ET. Live data may be delayed.

Hit rate vs the line

11of15

(73%)

Last 15 starts · Jul 6 – Sep 26

  1. 7
  2. 4
  3. 2
  4. 2
  5. 3
  6. 1
  7. 1
  8. 2
  9. 1
  10. 3
  11. 1
  12. 2
  13. 2
  14. 3
  15. 3

Earned Runs per start, oldest to newest

L15 average

2.5vs 1.5 line

Based on 15 starts

Recorded best price

BetMGM+125Compare all 2 books · Premium
What's the vig on this price?

Data as of Oct 7, 11:27 AM ET · 2 books quoting · quotes can be stale, confirm at the book · recorded prices, shown for research only

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Game results

Walker Buehler earned runs over the last 15 games versus a line of 1.5.

Results versus the line

L15
HitMissLine 1.5

Scroll for earlier games.

Game log · L15, newest first
DateOpponentResultEarned Runs
Sep 26AZ
Hit
3
Sep 20MIA
Hit
3
Sep 15COL
Hit
2
Sep 9WSH
Hit
2
Sep 4NYY
Miss
1
Aug 29TB
Hit
3
Aug 23MIN
Miss
1
Aug 17NYM
Hit
2
Aug 11MIL
Miss
1
Aug 6AZ
Miss
1
Aug 1SF
Hit
3
Jul 26MIA
Hit
2
Jul 21ATL
Hit
2
Jul 11TOR
Hit
4
Jul 6AZ
Hit
7

Market movement

These recorded prices are shown for research only.

Price history

Over 1.5 earned runs
Odds format

Not enough recorded updates to chart the best price yet.

Matchup

How Walker Buehler and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.

Walker Buehler

ERASeason · 32 games
4.79
ErLast game · 1 game
3
ErL3
2.67
ErL5
2.20
ErL7
2.14
ErL10
1.90
ErSeason · 32 games
2.47
Confirmed starter ERASeason
4.63
Confirmed starter WHIPSeason
1.35

Walker Buehler

Opposing starter

Opponent runsL5
3.80

Supporting context

Compare recent averages with the line and season stats.

WindowAverage earned runsvs 1.5 line
L52.2+0.7
L101.9+0.4
L152.5+1.0

Games played

32

ERA

4.79

IP

148.3

Er L1

3

Er Avg L3

2.667

Er Avg L5

2.2

Keep researching

Frequently asked

What does the data say about Walker Buehler Over 1.5 earned runs at this number?

Walker Buehler hit over 1.5 earned runs in 3 of 3 games across the last 3 games (100%). Best price is +125 at BetMGM.

What is the historical hit rate for Walker Buehler Over 1.5 earned runs?

Walker Buehler hit over 1.5 earned runs in 3 of 3 games across the last 3 games (100% hit rate).

What is the best price for Walker Buehler Over 1.5 earned runs?

+125 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Walker Buehler Over 1.5 earned runs right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after MIL @ SD (scheduled for 10:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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