What does the data say about Zack Wheeler 2+ earned runs at this number?

Zack Wheeler has produced 2+ earned runs in 6 of 10 games (60%). Best price is −135 at BetMGM. The data leans 2+ earned runs.

What is Zack Wheeler's hit rate on this prop?

Zack Wheeler went 2+ earned runs in 6 of 10 decisions across the last 10 games — 60% at this line.

What is the best price on Zack Wheeler 2+ earned runs?

−135 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after HOU @ PHI (scheduled for 1:06 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens grade this prop?

We compare recent hit-rate windows, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Zack Wheeler 2+ Earned Runs

HOU @ PHISep 10, 1:06 PM ET

Recent performance

Zack Wheeler earned runs over the last 10 games versus a line of 1.5.

Results versus the line

Hit rate

60%

Record

6/10

Average

2.7

HitMissL10

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over

60%

3/5 decisions

L10Primary

60%

6/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

3.27

134.7

Er L1

Er Avg L3

3.333

Er Avg L5

3.2

Market prices

Compare the exact 1.5 earned runs line. These recorded prices are shown for research only.

Recorded books

1 books

BetMGM

Best

Closed

Over

−135

Under +100

Odds updated 11m ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetMGM Best	−135	+100	Odds updated 11m ago	Closed

Keep researching

See active Zack Wheeler propsEvery prop we're tracking right now.Browse MLB propsCompare the rest of the slate.Check another betPaste a line and get a fresh read.