What does the data say about Brandon Pfaadt Under 2.5 earned runs at this number?

Brandon Pfaadt has hit the under 2.5 in 7 of 10 recent games (70%). No clear edge at the current price.

What is Brandon Pfaadt's hit rate on this prop?

Brandon Pfaadt went Under 2.5 earned runs in 7 of 10 decisions across the last 10 games — 70% at this line.

What is the best price on Brandon Pfaadt Under 2.5 earned runs?

−125 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after TEX @ ARI (scheduled for 8:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens grade this prop?

We compare recent hit-rate windows, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Brandon Pfaadt Under 2.5 Earned Runs

TEX @ ARISep 12, 8:11 PM ET

Recent performance

Brandon Pfaadt earned runs over the last 10 games versus a line of 2.5.

Results versus the line

Hit rate

70%

Record

7/10

Average

1.8

HitMissL10

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Under

EV −3.7%

40%

2/5 decisions

L10Primary

70%

7/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

3.67

112.9

Er L1

Er Avg L3

Er Avg L5

2.8

Market prices

Compare the exact 2.5 earned runs line. These recorded prices are shown for research only.

Recorded books

1 books

BetMGM

Best

Closed

Under

−125

Over −110

Odds updated 58m ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetMGM Best	−110	−125	Odds updated 58m ago	Closed

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