What does the data say about David Peterson Under 2.5 earned runs at this number?

David Peterson has hit the under 2.5 in 8 of 10 recent games (80%). Best price is −143 at DraftKings. The data leans Under 2.5 earned runs.

What is the historical hit rate for David Peterson Under 2.5 earned runs?

David Peterson hit under 2.5 earned runs in 8 of 10 decisions across the last 10 games — 80% hit rate.

What is the best price for David Peterson Under 2.5 earned runs?

−143 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for David Peterson Under 2.5 earned runs right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after ATL @ CHC (scheduled for 7:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

David Peterson Under 2.5 Earned Runs

ATL @ CHCSep 14, 7:41 PM ET

Recent performance

David Peterson earned runs over the last 10 games versus a line of 2.5.

Results versus the line

Record

8/10

Hit rate

80%

Average

1.8

HitMissL10

Matchup

How David Peterson and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.

David Peterson

ERASeason · 29 games: 5.49
ErLast game · 1 game: 1
ErL3: 3
ErL5: 2.20
ErL7: 2.14
ErL10: 1.80
ErSeason · 29 games: 2.65

Opponent

Opponent runsL5: 5.40

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Under

80%

4/5 decisions

L10Primary

80%

8/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

5.49

126.2

Er L1

Er Avg L3

Er Avg L5

2.2

Market prices

Compare the exact 2.5 earned runs line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

1 quoting

Best price: DraftKings −143

1 books · stale quotes flagged below

DraftKings

Best

Check

Under

−143

Over +108

Odds updated 42m ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
DraftKings Best	+108	−143	Odds updated 42m ago	Check

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