MLB player prop· CWSSettled: Hit
Hagen Smith Under 0.5 Earned Runs vs. Guardians
Earned Runs
Under 0.5 earned runs
5 of 7 decided (71%) · last 7 games
Last seen −210 at BetMGM, as of Oct 8, 7:57 PM ET · 2 books quoting
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 0.5 earned runs won.
Final: 0.
Closing price −210 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: hit 5 of 7 (71%) in the last 7.
Hit rate vs the line
5of7
(71%)
Sep 18 – Oct 7
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
Earned Runs per start, oldest to newest
L7 average
0.3vs 0.5 line
Based on 7 starts
Game results
Hagen Smith earned runs over the last 7 games versus a line of 0.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Earned Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | CLE | Miss | 1 |
| Oct 3 | CLE | Hit | 0 |
| Sep 29 | HOU | Hit | 0 |
| Sep 25 | COL | Hit | 0 |
| Sep 23 | KC | Miss | 1 |
| Sep 20 | DET | Hit | 0 |
| Sep 18 | DET | Hit | 0 |
What the data showed before the game
Sportsbooks
Closing price: BetMGM −210 · 18¢ better than DraftKings
Prices as of Oct 8, 7:57 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
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Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Open
−210
Current
−210
Change
0
Best available moved from −210 to −210. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Under.
Supporting context
Compare recent averages with the line and season stats.
| Window | Average earned runs | vs 0.5 line |
|---|---|---|
| L5 | 0.4 | -0.1 |
| L10 | 0.4 | -0.1 |
Games played
22
ERA
1.46
IP
30.8
Er L1
0
Er Avg L3
0.333
Er Avg L5
0.2
Related checks
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Hagen Smith Under 0.5 earned runs at this number?
Hagen Smith hit under 0.5 earned runs in 5 of his last 7 tracked games (71%). Best price is −210 at BetMGM.
What is the historical hit rate for Hagen Smith Under 0.5 earned runs?
Hagen Smith hit under 0.5 earned runs in 5 of 7 games across the last 7 games (71% hit rate).
What is the best price for Hagen Smith Under 0.5 earned runs?
−210 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Hagen Smith Under 0.5 earned runs right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.