Prop check
Jacob Lopez Under 2.5 Earned Runs
Final · graded Sep 26
Miss · Actual: 10 Earned Runs · Line 2.5 · Closing price −130 at DraftKings
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 6:11 PM ET | Cleveland Guardians | 2.5 | −130 | miss |
What the data showed before the game
The game behind the bet
ATH @ CLE
Sep 19, 6:11 PM ET
Game results
Jacob Lopez earned runs over the last 10 games versus a line of 2.5.
Results versus the line
Record
8/10
Hit rate
80%
L10 average
2.0
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Open
−105
Current
−130
Change
−25
Best available moved from −105 to −130. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Under is worth backing.
Recorded books
Best price: DraftKings −130 · 10¢ better than BetMGM
Over −102
DraftKings quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.Over +100
BetMGM quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.Supporting context
Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.
60%
3/5 decisions
80%
8/10 decisions
Games played
27
ERA
5.64
IP
119.6
Er L1
1
Er Avg L3
5.333
Er Avg L5
4.4
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