What does the data say about Nolan McLean Under 2.5 earned runs at this number?

Nolan McLean has hit the under 2.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Best price is −135 at BetMGM. The data leans Under 2.5 earned runs.

What is Nolan McLean's hit rate on this prop?

Nolan McLean went Under 2.5 earned runs in 5 of 5 decisions across the last 5 games — 100% at this line.

What is the best price on Nolan McLean Under 2.5 earned runs?

−135 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after NYM @ NYY (scheduled for 7:06 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens grade this prop?

We compare recent hit-rate windows, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Nolan McLean Under 2.5 Earned Runs

NYM @ NYYSep 11, 7:06 PM ET

Recent performance

Nolan McLean earned runs over the last 5 games versus a line of 2.5.

Results versus the line

Hit rate

100%

Record

5/5

Average

0.8

HitMissL5

Matchup

How Nolan McLean and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.

Nolan McLean

ERASeason · 28 games: 3.10
ErLast game · 1 game: 2
ErL3: 0.667
ErL5: 0.800
ErL7: 1.57
ErL10: 1.30
ErSeason · 28 games: 1.96

Opponent

Opponent runsL5: 5.80

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Under

L5Primary

100%

5/5 decisions

L10

90%

9/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

3.1

159.8

Er L1

Er Avg L3

0.667

Er Avg L5

0.8

Market prices

Compare the exact 2.5 earned runs line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

1 quoting

BetMGM

Best

Check

Under

−135

Over +100

Odds updated 1h ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetMGM Best	+100	−135	Odds updated 1h ago	Check

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