What does the data say about Parker Messick Under 1.5 earned runs at this number?

Parker Messick has hit the under 1.5 in 7 of 10 recent games (70%). Best price is +130 at BetMGM. The data leans Under 1.5 earned runs.

What is Parker Messick's hit rate on this prop?

Parker Messick went Under 1.5 earned runs in 7 of 10 decisions across the last 10 games — 70% at this line.

What is the best price on Parker Messick Under 1.5 earned runs?

+130 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after CLE @ MIN (scheduled for 8:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens grade this prop?

We compare recent hit-rate windows, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Parker Messick Under 1.5 Earned Runs

CLE @ MINSep 11, 8:11 PM ET

Recent performance

Parker Messick earned runs over the last 10 games versus a line of 1.5.

Results versus the line

Hit rate

70%

Record

7/10

Average

1.4

HitMissL10

Matchup

How Parker Messick and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.

Parker Messick

ERASeason · 28 games: 2.63
ErLast game · 1 game: 3
ErL3: 1.67
ErL5: 1.60
ErL7: 1.57
ErL10: 1.40
ErSeason · 28 games: 1.68

Opponent

Opponent runsL5: 3.20

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Under

60%

3/5 decisions

L10Primary

70%

7/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

2.63

160.7

Er L1

Er Avg L3

1.667

Er Avg L5

1.6

Market prices

Compare the exact 1.5 earned runs line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

1 quoting

BetMGM

Best

Check

Under

+130

Over −175

Odds updated 2h ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetMGM Best	−175	+130	Odds updated 2h ago	Check

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