What does the data say about Peter Lambert Under 2.5 earned runs at this number?

Peter Lambert has hit the under 2.5 in 8 of 10 recent games (80%). No clear edge at the current price.

What is Peter Lambert's hit rate on this prop?

Peter Lambert went Under 2.5 earned runs in 8 of 10 decisions across the last 10 games — 80% at this line.

What is the best price on Peter Lambert Under 2.5 earned runs?

+100 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after HOU @ TB (scheduled for 6:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens grade this prop?

We compare recent hit-rate windows, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Peter Lambert Under 2.5 Earned Runs

HOU @ TBSep 12, 6:11 PM ET

Recent performance

Peter Lambert earned runs over the last 10 games versus a line of 2.5.

Results versus the line

Hit rate

80%

Record

8/10

Average

2.7

HitMissL10

Matchup

How Peter Lambert and the opponent line up for Earned Runs.

Peter Lambert

ERASeason · 25 games: 3.78
ErLast game · 1 game: 3
ErL3: 2.33
ErL5: 3.60
ErL7: 3.14
ErL10: 2.70
ErSeason · 25 games: 2.28

Opponent

Opponent runsL5: 4.80

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Under

EV −4.2%

60%

3/5 decisions

L10Primary

80%

8/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

3.78

135.7

Er L1

Er Avg L3

2.333

Er Avg L5

3.6

Market prices

Compare the exact 2.5 earned runs line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

2 quoting

BetMGM

Best

Check

Under

+100

Over −135

Odds updated 53m ago

DraftKings

Check

Under

−113

Over −117

Odds updated 53m ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetMGM Best	−135	+100	Odds updated 53m ago	Check
DraftKings	−117	−113	Odds updated 53m ago	Check

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Recent performance

Results versus the line

Game log · L10

Matchup

Supporting context

Market prices

Current books

BetMGM

DraftKings

Market movement

Keep researching

Frequently asked

What does the data say about Peter Lambert Under 2.5 earned runs at this number?

What is Peter Lambert's hit rate on this prop?

What is the best price on Peter Lambert Under 2.5 earned runs?

When does this prop resolve?

How does WagerLens grade this prop?