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Research check

MLB player prop· BAL

Settled: Hit

Brandon Young Over 4.5 Hits Allowed

Hits Allowed

BAL @ NYMSep 14, 7:11 PM ET
The line

Over 4.5Hits Allowed

Final · graded Sep 20

Hit · Actual: 5 Hits · Line 4.5 · Closing price −130 at Pinnacle

Past games

DateOpponentLineClosing priceResult
Sep 14, 7:11 PM ETNew York Mets4.5−130hit

Hit rate vs the line

6of7

(86%)

Last 7 starts · Aug 6 – Sep 8

  1. 6
  2. 6
  3. 8
  4. 6
  5. 5
  6. 4
  7. 8

Hits Allowed per start, oldest → newest

L7 average

6.1vs 4.5 line

L5: 6.2 · L10: 5.7

Price move · Over 4.5

−127−137

Best available · open → recorded

Recorded best price

others −148 to −140Pinnacle−137

Data as of Sep 14, 7:07 PM ET · recorded prices, shown for research only

Game results

Brandon Young hits allowed over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.

Results versus the line

L7
HitMissL7

What the data showed before the game

The game behind the bet

BAL @ NYM

Sep 14, 7:11 PM ET

Market movement

These recorded prices are shown for research only.

Price history

Over
What's the vig on this price? →
Odds format

Open

−127

Current

−137

Change

−10

Best available moved from −127 to −137. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.

Recorded books

3 books

Best price: Pinnacle −137 · 11¢ better than DraftKings

Pinnacle
−137

Under +103

Pinnacle quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.
BetMGM
−140

Under +105

BetMGM quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.
DraftKings
−148

Under +112

DraftKings quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over
EV −4.0%
L5

80%

4/5 decisions

L7Primary

86%

6/7 decisions

L10

80%

8/10 decisions

Games played

28

ERA

3.67

IP

152

H L1

2

H Avg L3

3.333

H Avg L5

4.4

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