What does the data say about Casey Mize 5+ hits allowed at this number?

Casey Mize has had 5+ hits allowed in 7 of 10 recent games (70%). Best price is +100 at Pinnacle. The data leans 5+ hits allowed.

What is Casey Mize's hit rate on this prop?

Casey Mize went 5+ hits allowed in 7 of 10 decisions across the last 10 games — 70% at this line.

What is the best price on Casey Mize 5+ hits allowed?

+100 at Pinnacle is the best price attached to this check right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after WAS @ SD (scheduled for 9:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens grade this prop?

We compare recent hit-rate windows, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Casey Mize 5+ Hits Allowed

WAS @ SDSep 8, 9:41 PM ET

Recent performance

Casey Mize hits allowed over the last 10 games versus a line of 4.5.

Results versus the line

Hit rate

70%

Record

7/10

Average

5.0

HitMissL10

Matchup

How Casey Mize and the opponent line up for Hits Allowed.

Casey Mize

ERASeason · 22 games3.80

HitsLast game · 1 game5

HitsL35

HitsL54.60

HitsL75

HitsL105

HitsSeason · 22 games4.50

Washington Nationals

Opposing team

Opponent hitsL57.20

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over

60%

3/5 decisions

L10Primary

70%

7/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

3.8

109

H L1

H Avg L3

H Avg L5

4.6

Market prices

Compare the exact 4.5 hits allowed line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

1 quoting

Pinnacle

Best

Check book

Over

+100

Under −133

Odds updated 32m ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
Pinnacle Best	+100	−133	Odds updated 32m ago	Check book

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