What does the data say about Jared Jones 4+ hits allowed at this number?

Jared Jones has had 4+ hits allowed in 5 of 7 recent games (71%). No clear edge at the current price.

What is Jared Jones's hit rate on this prop?

Jared Jones went 4+ hits allowed in 5 of 7 decisions across the last 7 games — 71% at this line.

What is the best price on Jared Jones 4+ hits allowed?

−150 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after PIT @ CWS (scheduled for 7:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens grade this prop?

We compare recent hit-rate windows, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Jared Jones 4+ Hits Allowed

PIT @ CWSSep 10, 7:41 PM ET

Recent performance

Jared Jones hits allowed over the last 7 games versus a line of 3.5.

Results versus the line

Hit rate

71%

Record

5/7

Average

5.0

HitMissL7

Matchup

How Jared Jones and the opponent line up for Hits Allowed.

Jared Jones

ERASeason · 17 games: 4.53
HitsLast game · 1 game: 3
HitsL3: 4.33
HitsL5: 4.60
HitsL7: 5
HitsL10: 4
HitsSeason · 17 games: 4.06

Opponent

Opponent hitsL5: 7.60

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over

EV −3.4%

60%

3/5 decisions

L7Primary

71%

5/7 decisions

L10

50%

5/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

4.53

77.5

H L1

H Avg L3

4.333

H Avg L5

4.6

Market prices

Compare the exact 3.5 hits allowed line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

1 quoting

BetMGM

Best

Check

Over

−150

Under +110

Odds updated 18m ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetMGM Best	−150	+110	Odds updated 18m ago	Check

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