What does the data say about Seth Lugo 6+ hits allowed at this number?

Seth Lugo has had 6+ hits allowed in 5 straight games. No clear edge at the current price.

What is the historical hit rate for Seth Lugo 6+ hits allowed?

Seth Lugo hit 6+ hits allowed in 5 of 5 decisions across the last 5 games — 100% hit rate.

What is the best price for Seth Lugo 6+ hits allowed?

−111 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Seth Lugo 6+ hits allowed right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after KC @ HOU (scheduled for 7:16 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Seth Lugo 6+ Hits Allowed

KC @ HOUSep 17, 7:16 PM ET

Recent performance

Seth Lugo hits allowed over the last 5 games versus a line of 5.5.

Results versus the line

Record

5/5

Hit rate

100%

L5 average

7.8

HitMissL5

Matchup

How Seth Lugo and the opponent line up for Hits Allowed.

Seth Lugo

ERASeason · 30 games: 5.08
HitsLast game · 1 game: 7
HitsL3: 8
HitsL5: 7.80
HitsL7: 7.29
HitsL10: 6.50
HitsSeason · 30 games: 6.17

Opponent

Opponent hitsL5: 6

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over

EV −3.9%

L5Primary

100%

5/5 decisions

L10

70%

7/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

5.08

161.2

H L1

H Avg L3

H Avg L5

7.8

Market prices

Compare the exact 5.5 hits allowed line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

3 quoting

Best price: DraftKings −111 · 9¢ better than theScore Bet

3 books · stale quotes flagged below

DraftKings

Best

Check

Over

−111

Under −119

Odds updated 34m ago

BetMGM

Check

Over

−120

Under −110

Odds updated 34m ago

theScore Bet

Check

Over

−120

Under −120

Odds updated 34m ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
DraftKings Best	−111	−119	Odds updated 34m ago	Check
BetMGM	−120	−110	Odds updated 34m ago	Check
theScore Bet	−120	−120	Odds updated 34m ago	Check

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Recent performance

Results versus the line

Game log · L5

Matchup

Supporting context

Market prices

Current books

DraftKings

BetMGM

theScore Bet

Market movement

Keep researching

Frequently asked

What does the data say about Seth Lugo 6+ hits allowed at this number?

What is the historical hit rate for Seth Lugo 6+ hits allowed?

What is the best price for Seth Lugo 6+ hits allowed?

When does this bet resolve?

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?