What does the data say about Andrew Alvarez Under 4.5 hits allowed at this number?

Andrew Alvarez has hit the under 4.5 in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). No clear edge at the current price.

What is Andrew Alvarez's hit rate on this prop?

Andrew Alvarez went Under 4.5 hits allowed in 6 of 7 decisions across the last 7 games — 86% at this line.

What is the best price on Andrew Alvarez Under 4.5 hits allowed?

−143 at Pinnacle is the best price attached to this check right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after LAA @ WAS (scheduled for 4:06 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens grade this prop?

We compare recent hit-rate windows, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Andrew Alvarez Under 4.5 Hits Allowed

LAA @ WASSep 12, 4:06 PM ET

Recent performance

Andrew Alvarez hits allowed over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.

Results versus the line

Hit rate

86%

Record

6/7

Average

3.3

HitMissL7

Matchup

How Andrew Alvarez and the opponent line up for Hits Allowed.

Andrew Alvarez

ERASeason · 22 games: 3.77
HitsLast game · 1 game: 4
HitsL3: 3.67
HitsL5: 3.40
HitsL7: 3.29
HitsL10: 3.70
HitsSeason · 22 games: 3.73

Opponent

Opponent hitsL5: 8.40

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Under

EV −2.5%

80%

4/5 decisions

L7Primary

86%

6/7 decisions

L10

80%

8/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

3.77

90.8

H L1

H Avg L3

3.667

H Avg L5

3.4

Market prices

Compare the exact 4.5 hits allowed line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

3 quoting

Pinnacle is 14 cents better than the lowest current Under quote.

Pinnacle

Best

Check book

Under

−143

Over +108

Odds updated 44m ago

BetMGM

Check

Under

−155

Over +115

Odds updated 44m ago

DraftKings

Check

Under

−157

Over +118

Odds updated 44m ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
Pinnacle Best	+108	−143	Odds updated 44m ago	Check book
BetMGM	+115	−155	Odds updated 44m ago	Check
DraftKings	+118	−157	Odds updated 44m ago	Check

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Recent performance

Results versus the line

Game log · L7

Matchup

Supporting context

Market prices

Current books

Pinnacle

BetMGM

DraftKings

Market movement

Keep researching

Frequently asked

What does the data say about Andrew Alvarez Under 4.5 hits allowed at this number?

What is Andrew Alvarez's hit rate on this prop?

What is the best price on Andrew Alvarez Under 4.5 hits allowed?

When does this prop resolve?

How does WagerLens grade this prop?