What does the data say about Bailey Ober Under 4.5 hits allowed at this number?

Bailey Ober has hit the under 4.5 in 3 of 3 recent games (100%). Best price is +106 at DraftKings, about 3.6% above model fair. The data leans Under 4.5 hits allowed.

What is the historical hit rate for Bailey Ober Under 4.5 hits allowed?

Bailey Ober hit under 4.5 hits allowed in 3 of 3 decisions across the last 3 games — 100% hit rate.

What is the best price for Bailey Ober Under 4.5 hits allowed?

+106 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Bailey Ober Under 4.5 hits allowed right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after NYY @ MIN (scheduled for 7:40 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Bailey Ober Under 4.5 Hits Allowed

NYY @ MINSep 15, 7:40 PM ET

Recent performance

Bailey Ober hits allowed over the last 3 games versus a line of 4.5.

Results versus the line

Record

3/3

Hit rate

100%

L3 average

3.3

HitMissL3

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Under

EV +3.6%

L3Primary

100%

3/3 decisions

60%

3/5 decisions

L10

50%

5/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

4.35

115.8

H L1

H Avg L3

3.333

H Avg L5

4.8

Market prices

Compare the exact 4.5 hits allowed line. These recorded prices are shown for research only.

Recorded books

2 books

Best price: DraftKings +106

2 books · stale quotes flagged below

DraftKings

Best

Closed

Under

+106

Over −140

Odds updated 35m ago

Pinnacle

Closed

Under

−102

Over −130

Odds updated 35m ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
DraftKings Best	−140	+106	Odds updated 35m ago	Closed
Pinnacle	−130	−102	Odds updated 35m ago	Closed

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Recent performance

Results versus the line

Game log · L3

Supporting context

Market prices

Recorded books

DraftKings

Pinnacle

Market movement

Keep researching

Frequently asked

What does the data say about Bailey Ober Under 4.5 hits allowed at this number?

What is the historical hit rate for Bailey Ober Under 4.5 hits allowed?

What is the best price for Bailey Ober Under 4.5 hits allowed?

When does this bet resolve?

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?