
MLB player prop TB Settled: Miss
Drew Rasmussen Under 4.5 Hits Allowed vs. Astros
The bet: Under 4.5 hits allowed
Stayed under 4.5 in 6 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesAug 1 to Sep 5L7 average 3.9
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Odds and past results
Price as of Sep 11, 7:00 PM ET −110 at BetMGM
Opened −110 at BetMGM, closed −110
6 of 7 decided (86%) · last 7 games
WagerLens read
Verified facts
Drew Rasmussen hit under 4.5 hits allowed in 6 of his last 7 tracked games (86%).
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 4.5 hits allowed lost.
Final: 8.
Closing price −110 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: 6 of 7 decided (86%) · last 7 games.
Hit rate vs the line
6of7
(86%)
Aug 1 – Sep 5
- 4
- 2
- 4
- 7
- 3
- 4
- 3
Hits Allowed per start, oldest to newest
L7 average
3.9vs 4.5 line
Based on 7 starts
Game results
Drew Rasmussen hits allowed over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Hits Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | TEX | Hit | 3 |
| Aug 30 | SD | Hit | 4 |
| Aug 24 | DET | Hit | 3 |
| Aug 19 | TOR | Miss | 7 |
| Aug 12 | ATH | Hit | 4 |
| Aug 7 | SEA | Hit | 2 |
| Aug 1 | CWS | Hit | 4 |
What the data showed before the game
Sportsbooks
Closing price: BetMGM −110
Prices as of Sep 11, 7:00 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Open
−110
Current
−110
Change
0
Best available moved from −110 to −110. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Under.
Supporting context
Compare recent averages with the line and season stats.
| Window | Average hits allowed | vs 4.5 line |
|---|---|---|
| L5 | 4.2 | -0.3 |
Games played
35
ERA
2.63
IP
198.8
H L1
2
H Avg L3
4
H Avg L5
4.2
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Drew Rasmussen Under 4.5 hits allowed at this number?
Drew Rasmussen hit under 4.5 hits allowed in 6 of his last 7 tracked games (86%). Last seen is −110 at BetMGM.
What is the historical hit rate for Drew Rasmussen Under 4.5 hits allowed?
Drew Rasmussen hit under 4.5 hits allowed in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Drew Rasmussen Under 4.5 hits allowed?
−110 at BetMGM was the recorded closing price for Drew Rasmussen Under 4.5 hits allowed.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 7:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.