What does the data say about Max Fried Under 4.5 hits allowed at this number?

Max Fried has hit the under 4.5 in 4 of 5 recent games (80%). No clear edge at the current price.

What is Max Fried's hit rate on this prop?

Max Fried went Under 4.5 hits allowed in 4 of 5 decisions across the last 5 games — 80% at this line.

What is the best price on Max Fried Under 4.5 hits allowed?

−125 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after COL @ NYY (scheduled for 7:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens grade this prop?

We compare recent hit-rate windows, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Max Fried Under 4.5 Hits Allowed

COL @ NYYSep 10, 7:05 PM ET

Recent performance

Max Fried hits allowed over the last 5 games versus a line of 4.5.

Results versus the line

Hit rate

80%

Record

4/5

Average

3.4

HitMissL5

Matchup

How Max Fried and the opponent line up for Hits Allowed.

Max Fried

ERASeason · 17 games: 2.80
HitsLast game · 1 game: 4
HitsL3: 4
HitsL5: 3.40
HitsL7: 3.29
HitsL10: 4
HitsSeason · 17 games: 3.88

Opponent

Opponent hitsL5: 8

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Under

EV −3.6%

L5Primary

80%

4/5 decisions

L10

50%

5/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

2.8

93.1

H L1

H Avg L3

H Avg L5

3.4

Market prices

Compare the exact 4.5 hits allowed line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

2 quoting

BetMGM is 16 cents better than the lowest current Under quote.

BetMGM

Best

Check

Under

−125

Over −105

Odds updated 1h ago

Pinnacle

Check book

Under

−141

Over +106

Odds updated 1h ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetMGM Best	−105	−125	Odds updated 1h ago	Check
Pinnacle	+106	−141	Odds updated 1h ago	Check book

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Recent performance

Results versus the line

Game log · L5

Matchup

Supporting context

Market prices

Current books

BetMGM

Pinnacle

Market movement

Keep researching

Frequently asked

What does the data say about Max Fried Under 4.5 hits allowed at this number?

What is Max Fried's hit rate on this prop?

What is the best price on Max Fried Under 4.5 hits allowed?

When does this prop resolve?

How does WagerLens grade this prop?