What does the data say about Merrill Kelly 16+ outs at this number?

Merrill Kelly has had 16+ outs in 2 of 3 recent games (67%). No clear edge at the current price.

What is the historical hit rate for Merrill Kelly 16+ outs?

Merrill Kelly hit 16+ outs in 2 of 3 decisions across the last 3 games — 67% hit rate.

What is the best price for Merrill Kelly 16+ outs?

−112 at BetRivers is the best price attached to this check for Merrill Kelly 16+ outs right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after MIA @ ARI (scheduled for 9:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Merrill Kelly 16+ Outs

MIA @ ARISep 16, 9:41 PM ET

Recent performance

Merrill Kelly outs over the last 3 games versus a line of 15.5.

Results versus the line

Record

2/3

Hit rate

67%

L3 average

17.3

HitMissL3

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over

EV −2.3%

L3Primary

67%

2/3 decisions

60%

3/5 decisions

L10

50%

5/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

5.07

149.2

Outs L1

Outs Avg L3

−135

Under −105

Odds updated 1h ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetRivers Best	−112	—	Odds updated 1h ago	Closed
FanDuel	−114	−114	Odds updated 1h ago	Closed
DraftKings	−119	−112	Odds updated 1h ago	Closed
theScore Bet	−125	−115	Odds updated 1h ago	Closed
BetMGM	−135	−105	Odds updated 1h ago	Closed

Keep researching

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Recent performance

Results versus the line

Game log · L3

Supporting context

Market prices

Recorded books

BetRivers

FanDuel

DraftKings

theScore Bet

BetMGM

Market movement