Prop check
Merrill Kelly Under 17.5 Pitcher Outs
You checked 17.5 (alt). Consensus: 16.5.
Final · graded Sep 18
Hit · Actual: 13 Outs · Line 17.5 · Closing price −130 at BetMGM
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 9:41 PM ET | Texas Rangers | 17.5 | −130 | hit |
What the data showed before the game
The game behind the bet
TEX @ ARI
Sep 11, 9:41 PM ET
Game results
Merrill Kelly outs over the last 10 games versus a line of 17.5.
Results versus the line
Record
8/10
Hit rate
80%
L10 average
16.2
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Open
−135
Current
−135
Change
0
Best available moved from −135 to −135. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Under.
Recorded books
Best price: BetMGM −135
Over −110
BetRivers quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.Supporting context
Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.
60%
3/5 decisions
80%
8/10 decisions
Games played
29
ERA
5.05
IP
158.5
Outs L1
16
Outs Avg L3
14.333
Outs Avg L5
16.4
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