Prop check
Casey Mize Over 1.5 Walks
MIA @ SDSep 19, 8:40 PM ET
Settled: Hit
Final · graded Sep 20
Hit · Actual: 5 Walks · Line 1.5 · Closing price +145 at DraftKings
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 8:40 PM ET | Miami Marlins | 1.5 | +145 | hit |
What the data showed before the game
The game behind the bet
MIA @ SD
Sep 19, 8:40 PM ET
Game results
Casey Mize walks over the last 10 games versus a line of 1.5.
Results versus the line
Record
3/10
Hit rate
30%
L10 average
1.3
HitMissL10
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over
Odds format
Open
+145
Current
+168
Change
+23
Best available moved from +145 to +168. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Recorded books
2 books
Best price: DraftKings +168 · 8¢ better than theScore Bet
DraftKings
+168
Under −226
DraftKings quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.theScore Bet
+160
Under −225
theScore Bet quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.Supporting context
Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.
Over
EV −8.1%
L1Primary
100%
1/1 decisions
L5
20%
1/5 decisions
L10
30%
3/10 decisions
Games played
26
ERA
4.49
IP
126.2
Bb L1
2
Bb Avg L3
3
Bb Avg L5
2.2
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