What does the data say about Merrill Kelly 2+ walks at this number?

Merrill Kelly has had 2+ walks in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Best price is −147 at DraftKings. The data leans 2+ walks.

What is the historical hit rate for Merrill Kelly 2+ walks?

Merrill Kelly hit 2+ walks in 6 of 7 decisions across the last 7 games — 86% hit rate.

What is the best price for Merrill Kelly 2+ walks?

−147 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Merrill Kelly 2+ walks right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after MIA @ ARI (scheduled for 9:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Merrill Kelly 2+ Walks

MIA @ ARISep 16, 9:41 PM ET

Recent performance

Merrill Kelly walks over the last 7 games versus a line of 1.5.

Results versus the line

Record

6/7

Hit rate

86%

L7 average

3.0

HitMissL7

Matchup

How Merrill Kelly and the opponent line up for Walks.

Merrill Kelly

WalksLast game · 1 game: 3
WalksL3: 2.33
WalksL5: 2.80
WalksL7: 3
WalksL10: 2.70
WalksSeason · 27 games: 2.48

Opponent

Opponent walksL5: 3

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over

80%

4/5 decisions

L7Primary

86%

6/7 decisions

L10

70%

7/10 decisions

Games played

ERA

5.07

149.2

Bb L1

Bb Avg L3

2.333

Bb Avg L5

2.8

Market prices

Compare the exact 1.5 walks line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Sportsbook links are provided for checking available prices, not as a betting recommendation.

Current books

1 quoting

Best price: DraftKings −147

1 books · stale quotes flagged below

DraftKings

Best

Check

Over

−147

Under +111

Odds updated 1h ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
DraftKings Best	−147	+111	Odds updated 1h ago	Check

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