John Ridgeway III
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop PIT Settled: Miss
Aaron Rodgers Over 20.5 Pass Completions
The bet: Over 20.5 pass completions
You checked 20.5, an alternate line. Most books: 22.5.
PIT@NO Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET
Cleared 20.5 in 5 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 13 to Oct 18L6 average 23.8
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 20.5 pass completions lost.
Final: 19.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | New Orleans Saints | Over 20.5 pass completions | 19 pass completions | −132 | miss |
| Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET | Cleveland Browns | Over 20.5 pass completions | 22 pass completions | −135 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
5of6
(83%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
- 24
- 23
- 19
- 22
- 22
- 33
Pass Completions per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
23.8vs 20.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Aaron Rodgers pass completions over the last 6 games versus a line of 20.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 20.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Pass Completions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | @TB | Hit | 33 |
| Oct 11 | vsIND | Hit | 22 |
| Oct 1 | @CLE | Hit | 22 |
| Sep 27 | vsCIN | Miss | 19 |
| Sep 20 | @NE | Hit | 23 |
| Sep 13 | vsATL | Hit | 24 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Pittsburgh Steelers
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
21.9
Points / game
19.7
Allowed / game
New Orleans Saints
2026 season · 7 games
2–5
Record
23.1
Points / game
27.7
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 20.5 pass completions
Closing price
Odds format
−132 at BetRivers
Not enough recorded updates to chart the best price yet.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Stade de France
- Saint-Denis · Grass
Game-day inactives
New Orleans Saints
Treyton Welch
TE · Coach's Decision ·
Nathan Shepherd
DT · Illness ·
Cesar Ruiz
G · Knee ·
Tyree Wilson
DE · Coach's Decision ·
Zach Wilson
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Pittsburgh Steelers
Ben Skowronek
WR · Calf ·
Terell Smith
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Eli Heidenreich
RB · Coach's Decision ·
Will Howard
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Drew Allar
QB · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- PIT -3
- Game total
- 43.5
- New Orleans Saints
- +136
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- −162
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- New Orleans Saints
- 40%
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- 60%
Pittsburgh Steelers by 2.6
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Tyler Shough is playing through painful injury (opens in a new tab)
Tyler Shough is playing through painful injury
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New Orleans Saints
Jordyn Tyson
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Brandin Echols
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Sebastian Joseph-Day
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Aaron Rodgers Over 20.5 pass completions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Aaron Rodgers Over 20.5 pass completions?
Aaron Rodgers hit over 20.5 pass completions in 5 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (83% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Aaron Rodgers Over 20.5 pass completions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 9:30 AM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.