RJ Harvey
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop KC Pending
Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Passing TDs vs. Broncos
The bet: Over 1.5 passing tds
KC@DEN Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET
Cleared 1.5 in 4 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 14 to Oct 25L6 average 1.5
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
4of6
(67%)
Sep 14 – Oct 25
- 2
- 3
- 2
- 2
- 0
- 0
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
1.5vs 1.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Patrick Mahomes passing tds over the last 6 games versus a line of 1.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 1.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @SEA | Miss | 0 |
| Oct 18 | vsLAC | Miss | 0 |
| Oct 4 | @LV | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 27 | @MIA | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 20 | vsIND | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 14 | vsDEN | Hit | 2 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Patrick Mahomes
- Passing touchdowns per game
- 1.5
Season · 6 games
Patrick Mahomes
MAHOMES · COMPLETIONS PER GAME
20.7per game
2026 regular season6 games
Denver Broncos
DEN PASS RUSH
3.4sacks/game by DEN defense
Last 5 games
DEN · PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
1.2per game
2026 regular seasonL5
Market movement
Price history
Over 1.5 passing tds
Best priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
+158
Current
+177
Change
+19
Best available moved from +158 to +177. That pays $19.00 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Chiefs' Travis Kelce should be good to go against Broncos despite ongoing injury (opens in a new tab)
Chiefs' Travis Kelce should be good to go against Broncos despite ongoing injury
Chiefs' Travis Kelce should be good to go against Broncos despite ongoing injury
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Denver Broncos
Talanoa Hufanga
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Kansas City Chiefs
Omarr Norman-Lott
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
L'Jarius Sneed
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 passing tds at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 passing tds?
Patrick Mahomes hit over 1.5 passing tds in 4 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (67% hit rate).
What is the best price for Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 passing tds?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.