Christian Kirk
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop WAS Pending
Today's check
Jayden Daniels Under 1.5 Passing TDs
Passing TDs
WAS@SF Oct 19, 8:15 PM ET
The line
Under 1.5 passing tds
Price context
2 of 3 decided (67%) · last 3 games
Last seen −138 at FanDuel, as of Oct 18, 2:15 PM ET · 5 books last observed
Limited sample: 3 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
WagerLens read
Verified facts
Jayden Daniels hit under 1.5 passing tds in 2 of his last 3 tracked games (67%).
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Under 1.5 passing tds · Last seen −138
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Hit rate vs the line
2of3
(67%)
Sep 13 – Oct 11
- 2
- 1
- 0
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
L3 average
1.0vs 1.5 line
Based on 3 games
Matchup
Player
DANIELS · COMPLETIONS
15.3per game
2026 regular season3 games
Opponent
SF PASS RUSH
2.2sacks/game
Last 5 games
Game results
Jayden Daniels passing tds over the last 3 games versus a line of 1.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 1.5
Game log · L3, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vsNYG | Hit | 0 |
| Sep 20 | @DAL | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 13 | @PHI | Miss | 2 |
Sportsbooks
5 recorded quotes
Last seen best price: FanDuel −138
Prices as of Oct 18, 2:15 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
The game behind the bet
Jayden Daniels: 1 passing touchdowns (Season · 3 games).
Team comparison
Washington Commanders
Your selection
2026 season · 4 games
1–3
Record
23
Points / game
29.8
Allowed / game
San Francisco 49ers
2026 season · 5 games
5–0
Record
30.8
Points / game
18.6
Allowed / game
Market movement
Price history
Under 1.5 passing tds
Best price
Odds format
Open
−158
Current
−138
Change
+20
Best available moved from −158 to −138. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Pregame context
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Commanders rule out RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt, 3 others vs. 49ers (opens in a new tab)
Commanders rule out RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt, 3 others vs. 49ers Washington Commanders running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt (groin) did not practice all week and was ruled out Saturday for Monday night's away game against the ...
Commanders rule out RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt, 3 others vs. 49ers Washington Commanders running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt (groin) did not practice all week and was ruled out Saturday for Monday night's away game against the ...
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
San Francisco 49ers
Deebo Samuel Sr.
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Washington Commanders
Charles Omenihu
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Jayden Daniels Under 1.5 passing tds at this number?
Jayden Daniels hit under 1.5 passing tds in 2 of his last 3 tracked games (67%). Best price is −138 at FanDuel.
What is the historical hit rate for Jayden Daniels Under 1.5 passing tds?
Jayden Daniels hit under 1.5 passing tds in 2 of 3 games across the last 3 games (67% hit rate).
What is the best price for Jayden Daniels Under 1.5 passing tds?
−138 at FanDuel is the best price attached to this check for Jayden Daniels Under 1.5 passing tds right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.